Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll


9:24 pm - April 4th 2012

by Newswire    


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The YouGov polling is significant tonight because its the lowest the Conservatives have fallen for ages.

Labour 42%, Conservatives 32%, Libdems 9%, UKIP 8%

Polling also shows that Cameron’s personal ratings have crashed recently

But Ed Miliband still fails to reap the benefits

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Reader comments


This doesn’t surprise me too much – it paints a picture where Cameron’s haphazard leadership is being shown up, and his flawed and badly thought out policies are being exposed. HOWEVER, for Labourites, it shows that it is largely Tory Own Goals that are causing their woes – grannietax, pastietax, snoopers charter etc – rather than Labour necessarily being particularly effective in leadership themselves. The big news though is that this and the last few polls is showing that Cameron’s honeymoon period is over.

That’s elections for you. You don’t win them – governments lose them.

UKIP 8%? ffs. Tories and Libdems losing votes is all music to my ears but its not much improvement if its going to the ‘loonies, fruitcakes and closet racists’ (copyright D. Cameron). Suspect most will go back to being Tory on election day though.

Effigies of Brown will be wheeled out. With all the propaganda spin about Brown is to blame, there will be no need to say anything more – the dog whistle will call on the party faithful and the bankers to come out to vote for their interest.

Turnout will be critical for the outcome and I suspect much of the electorate will be too depressed to vote by then because of the efficiency savings required of the NHS and the hangover from the overspend on the London Olympics:

The cost of hosting the Olympics has skyrocketed while private funders have evaporated. Welcome to celebration capitalism
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/apr/04/price-of-london-olympics?newsfeed=true

The Olympic gravy train riders are laughing all the way to their banks.

Solid mid term poll leads but a leader whom the electorate don’t see as PM.

I think I’ve seen this film before.

Am I the only one who thinks that this is actually a bad thing for the left? If Ed and the feckless bunch of no-hopers running Labour at present think they can win in 2015, there is (even) less chance of them abandoning the New Labour lite platform.

We’re really screwed given the Limp Dems will probably be toast at the next GE :(

7. Leon Wolfeson

@6 – Eh, the UKIP might just lose it for the Tories.

@7 Leon

UKIP?… Why would Tories need to bother switching to them? Thats about as likely as as that idiot Lindsay’s fervid imagining of a left of Labour force keeping Ed and New Labour honest.

9. Leon Wolfeson

@8 – Thanks for confirming what you said in the other thread. I’ll keep talking to actual left wingers then.

@5: I think I’ve seen this film before.

I don’t think Ed Miliband shares Kinnock’s spectacular talent for snatching defeat.

Try this BBC video of the Sheffield Rally shortly before the 1992 election:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TOgB3Smvro

“So what did cost Labour the 1992 election? Worcester has no doubt that it was the Sheffield rally, just eight days before polling day. On the eve of the rally, three polls came out, showing a seven-point lead, a six-point lead and a four-point lead for Labour. That day, Labour peaked.” [New Statesman 11 December 1998]

“So what did cost Labour the 1992 election? Worcester has no doubt that it was the Sheffield rally, just eight days before polling day. On the eve of the rally, three polls came out, showing a seven-point lead, a six-point lead and a four-point lead for Labour. That day, Labour peaked.” [New Statesman 11 December 1998]

Bilge. How many people even saw that? It’s a convenient excuse. The public wanted the tories out but they didn’t want Kinnock. If the voters don’t see your leader as PM material it’s a dealbreaker. This where we are now, crowing that Bumface’s approval rating is in the -20s when Ed’s is in the -40s.

12. Charlieman

@11. Jimmy: “Bilge. How many people even saw that [Sheffield election rally 1992]? It’s a convenient excuse.”

I did ‘cos it was on Newsnight. It may also have been on ITV News at Ten or BBC Nine O’Clock News. What the organisers failed to appreciate was that it wasn’t going to be reported on the next day’s radio programmes after polling stations opened. Or if they understood those election rules, they didn’t understand the limitations of the rally.


Reactions: Twitter, blogs
  1. Nadja von Massow

    OMG, I am feeling so terribly miserable now… NOT! RT @libcon: Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll http://t.co/0pkcu1IP

  2. Cristiano Di Carlo

    Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll http://t.co/0uQzx4aJ

  3. Nick H.

    Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll http://t.co/0uQzx4aJ

  4. Ricardo Gaio Alves

    Labour 42%, Conservatives 32%, Libdems 9%, UKIP 8% http://t.co/UsJ8NRhn Cameron já está em queda

  5. carlos mata

    Labour 42%, Conservatives 32%, Libdems 9%, UKIP 8% http://t.co/UsJ8NRhn Cameron já está em queda

  6. bossito

    Labour 42%, Conservatives 32%, Libdems 9%, UKIP 8% http://t.co/UsJ8NRhn Cameron já está em queda

  7. Miguel Magalhães

    Labour 42%, Conservatives 32%, Libdems 9%, UKIP 8% http://t.co/UsJ8NRhn Cameron já está em queda

  8. Michael Anthony Snai

    Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll | Liberal Conspiracy http://t.co/QwqczRjb

  9. Kevin Donovan

    Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll http://t.co/0uQzx4aJ

  10. Chris Barker

    Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll http://t.co/0uQzx4aJ

  11. Josiah Mortimer

    Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll << and UKIP only 1 point behind the Lib Dems… http://t.co/OnrjfyYN via @libcon

  12. Daniel Pitt

    RT @libcon #Tory vote collapses in new YouGov poll http://t.co/TtUSK8oy let's kick these gremlins out of office before they do more damage!

  13. Dom Eden

    Labour take seats from Tories but more telling is that voters still believe Cameron is better PM than Gromit http://t.co/d4i24QXp #Vote2012





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