Cameron’s greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends
To those he knows personally, I imagine, David Cameron is probably quite a nice man. He’s a loving father; a loving husband; and, it’s increasingly obvious, someone who looks out for his friends.
But the personal isn’t always political, and Cameron’s loyalties could hurt him badly.
They could do so by tying his hands on the most important part of a government’s job – the management of the economy.
Loyalty, of course, is an admirable quality in real life and war films. In government, though, it can be a bloody albatross.
I, like many liberals, cheered along at all those moments in The West Wing when Bartlett and co. closed ranks to protect a colleague from the whiff of scandal. When that happened in real life, and the Bush White House spent years refusing to do the sensible thing and hang the incompetent Donald Rumsfeld out to dry, I was spitting blood.
This surfeit of loyalty, an unwillingness to lay down his friends for his life, is something that’s already damaged David Cameron. First with Andy Coulson, then with Rebekah Brooks, he refused to throw them to the wolves, long after it became clear it was the best way to protect his own reputation.
Partly, no doubt, that’s down to a stubborn unwillingness to admit he was wrong. But he’s been quite willing to make u-turns on other matters; had no problems leaving Lansley or Spelman to dangle in the wind. And the tone in which he defends Coulson suggests it’s personal, too: he didn’t want to hurt his friend.
That presents an opportunity for the left.
Cameron’s closest political friend is his Chancellor. George Osborne is part of his inner circle, playing a major role in setting both policy and political strategy. As things stand, it’s all but impossible to imagine the prime minister sacking, reprimanding or even distancing himself from him.
That’s a problem. Because Osborne, as has been widely noted, isn’t doing a terribly good job.
So far, that’s not really mattered to Cameron. His personal ratings lost ground during the hacking scandal, but generally speaking he’s been by far the best rated of the three main leaders – something that, Mike Smithson has argued, may prove a better guide to the next election result than the parties’ ratings. If he starts to share the blame for the state of the economy, though, that could change.
So here’s, the opportunity. Whenever they’re talking about cuts, or the deficit, or the economy, the left should make sure to presage it with the words “David Cameron”.
Osborne’s unpopularity was expected, and has been factored in. If we really want to hurt the government’s reelection chances, we need to push the blame on to the man at the top.
If this does happen, it’s not at all clear how Cameron can fight back. When tarred with the brush of a minister’s failure, a PM can generally force a change of course or reshuffle them out. Cameron can’t do either. His instinct will be to protect Osborne.
In other words, if Cameron is forced to share the blame for Osborne’s failure, he will stand up and petulantly defend his record, however poor it is. He can do little else. David Cameron is a good friend. He will stand by his Chancellor – even as they’re facing a firing squad.
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This is a guest post. Jonn Elledge is a journalist, covering politics and the public sector.
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His weakness is not his loyalty to his friends. His weakness is the type of person he is and therefore the type of friends he attracts and cultivates. The consequence being he has friends that most of the rest of us would be circumspect about getting to know well and this says a lot about who he is.
@1 You can make that case, certainly. But whether his friends are, say, despicable and corrupt pieces of shit (for example) is a subjective judgement. Whereas, Cameron’s inability to distance himself for his friends is something that’s clearly going to cause him problems, whatever you think of the friends he’s chosen.
The way that Cameron puts his loyalty to his friends above everything, regardless of the political costs, can clearly be seen by his treatment of Hugo Swire.
but how obliged is Cameron to represent the interests of those who’ve bank-rolled the Conservative Party?
This may affect his choices, the nearer we get to an Election.
This is politics, if you want a friend get a dog. Which is what Cameron has done in making the dumbest man in parliament Chancellor. The only conceivable reason Cameron could have for making Osborne Chancellor is that he knows he won’t have to worry about a Brown type plot, unless Osborne has photos of Cameron in a pink tutu French-kissing Arthur Scargill.The only reason I can think of why anyone would regard someone as ugly, stupid and charmless as Osborne as a friend is if they needed someone to look good in comparison to. I don’t know if Cameron regards Osborne as his dearest friend in the whole wide world but I have no doubt that when the time comes for a sacrifice he’ll plunge the knife into Osborne without a second’s hesitation (the reverse also applies, though Osborne would never find the cutlery unassisted and would need someone to tell him which was the correct knife for the occasion). Not that the consequences are of any real importance to either of them, to their class politics is a matter of their birthright and something to do till daddy snuffs it leaving them even richer.
“Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down a friend’s life to save his own”
Cameron’s friends? http://iconicphotos.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/cameroneton2_468x420.jpg
No surprise this view comes from those who think it natural to hold knives to the political throats of their ‘comrades’
“Cameron’s greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends”
Sounds a bit like what the Emperor said to Luke in Return of the Jedi – well done (?) for making Cameron into a Luke Bloody Skywalker figure.
He can’t help being an Old Etonian. But as such, many of his friends are also Old Etonians. Some more, such as Osbourne, from the Bullingdon club. Then theres people who live nearby in rural Oxfordshire like Rebekah Brooks.
Loyalty to friends wouldn’t be such a problem if he had a better selection of friends. Even his attempt at befriending a ‘man of the people’ backfired when Coulson turned out to be a crook.
Loyalty to friends is never a weakness. Cameron’s weakness is that when he is told that a friend is useless at his job or that a friend should not be given a job or that a friend is about to become a political liability, he ignores the advice. It is his inability to heed wise words that will be his downfall, not his choice of friends or loyalty to them.
Cute.
It never hurt Blair…….made him rich in fact
Do you think it’s personal weakness or political weakness? Osborne is much stronger with the Tory right than Cameron is. I suspect Cameron knows the logical thing would be to replace Osborne with a Chancellor who actually got us out of a recession once before with a little sneaky Keynesian stimulus.
Unfortunately Chancellor Ken would drive the remaining Tory press mental and further undermine Cameron with the right. They already blame Cameron for costing the Conservative Party outright victory last year, little realising that it was actually the Conservative Party which denied Cameron his majority. Cameron’s strength is also his weakness. He is more popular than his own party – but he can’t point that out without attracting attention to the lingering toxicity of the Tory brand.
Cameron’s weakness is that when he is told that a friend is useless at his job or that a friend should not be given a job or that a friend is about to become a political liability, he ignores the advice
http://iaindale.blogspot.com/2007/07/only-two-people-sacked-from-shadow.html
It’s a nice idea this: that Cameron will cling to useless incompetent people solely on the basis that they are friends, but it doesn’t quite square with the facts. It might be true that he gives more of the benefit of the doubt to people that he likes (though I imagine he’s hardly unique in that) but this piece rests on the idea that the only reason he hasn’t fired Osborne is because he likes him.
That’s something that only an opponent of the Government could believe.
@Tim J: Not quite. I don’t think Osborne’s done anything even remotely constituting a sackable offence; and I think continuity and stability is important to keep the bond markets calm.
What I’m saying is, if things don’t improve, there may well come a time when the easiest way for Cameron to save his own skin would be to cast Osborne aside. I don’t think he’d do that. I think they’ll go down together.
The Hugo Swire thing is an interesting point – one, I’ll admit, I was unaware of – but he was never part of the inner circle like Coulson or Osborne.
there may well come a time when the easiest way for Cameron to save his own skin would be to cast Osborne aside. I don’t think he’d do that. I think they’ll go down together.
Maybe, although Cameron has said the opposite before now.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/7430231/David-Cameron-Id-sack-George-Osborne-if-I-had-to.html
Most people in power like to be surrounded by friends.
Sorry Corleone family
Keep your enemy nearer than you friends is of course bollocks.
A new headteacher will bring in their old deputy.
A football manager will bring in his own coaching staff.
A CEO will poach from his old company for his top staff.
Nothing wrong with that ?
But it is bringing in the right friends.
You know the type, you can have a drink with them , have a laugh with them, but you couldn’t trust them to sit on the right side of a lavatory seat.
You know, Andy Coulson.
It’s Dave’s judgement that is in question not loyalty
@Tim J
Cameron also said he would sack Coulson if there was any indication he’d done anything wrong. In the event, he clearly found that incredibly difficult, was defending Coulson long after it became clear he was a liability, and took a political hit from that decision.
He may say he could sack Osborne. I don’t believe it.
He may say he could sack Osborne. I don’t believe it.
We’ll see. He certainly won’t want to sack him, as the history of Prime Ministers falling out with Chancellors is not a happy one. But the Prime Minister that Cameron most resembles, deliberately I suspect, is Harold Macmillan, and there’s historical precedence there.
The only truly unsackable Chancellor of recent years was Gordon Brown, and that was more a function of the psychological weakness of Tony Blair than anything else.
Reactions: Twitter, blogs
- Liberal Conspiracy
Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends http://bit.ly/mZ8fIQ
- Andrew Page
Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends http://bit.ly/mZ8fIQ
- Purbeck Pashmina
RT @libcon: Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends http://bit.ly/mZ8fIQ < Poor judgement on the first place looks to be no 1.
- Jonn Elledge
Jonn @libcon – why Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to his friends. Specifically, Osborne http://bit.ly/qyvzQy
- Eddie Robson
Jonn @libcon – why Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to his friends. Specifically, Osborne http://bit.ly/qyvzQy
- Joshua Mostafa
@libcon It's scurrilous to criticise loyalty to friends per se, rather than for befriending scumbags in the first place. http://t.co/zGbOd5W
- BendyGirl
Cameron’s greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends | Liberal Conspiracy http://t.co/bx7W3YX via @libcon
- Alfred Camp
“
@libcon: #Cameron 's greatest weakness in loyalty to friends http://t.co/0DUbVip ~ he knows are committing criminal acts for his benefit! - Stephe Meloy
Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends http://bit.ly/mZ8fIQ
- Twitted by Staircase2
[...] This post was Twitted by Staircase2 [...]
- Jonn Elledge
Me @libcon from earlier: why Osborne is Cameron's weak spot http://bit.ly/qyvzQy
- andrew
Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyalty to … – Liberal Conspiracy: Cameron's greatest weakness is his loyal… http://bit.ly/qWhzTF
- Jonn Elledge
A month back I wrote this, arguing that Cameron's loyalty to Osborne could be the thing that ruins him. http://t.co/VeQDbpv Just saying.
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