Polls show Boris less popular than believed
London’s Mayor Boris Johnson today announced that he would stand again as the Conservative candidate in 2012.
He will be endorsed officially by the Conservatives next month.
With a well-timed leak to ConservativeHome today, Boris’ team let it be known that internal polling shows he has a 55% approval rating.
Paul Waugh at the Evening Standard however publishes a graph that shows Boris Johnson’s net approval at around 40%.
But it’s not clear where those figures are from.
The GLA does do an annual survey of London opinion. This is published in the public domain and shows things aren’t as rosy for the Mayor as ConservativeHome would like to believe.
The last survey (via Adam Bienkov) shows that satisfaction with Boris Johnson’s record was actually only 26%.
And this is perhaps more worrying for Boris.
In other words – not all is well in Boris world despite what you read on ConservativeHome.
Update: Ken sent out this statement today:
Since he was elected he has cut the police, raised a single bus fare by a third and broken promises on affordable housing. He has betrayed outer London with higher fares, cuts to new transport links and breaking his pledge to protect tube ticket office opening hours.
I believe there is an alternative to Boris Johnson’s and David Cameron’s cuts. As Mayor of London I would work to hold down fares, build homes, protect policing levels and defend investment in public transport. While Boris defends the bankers and polluters, I will stand up for ordinary Londoners.
Oona’s response is savage.
You get the impression Boris has no idea how he ended up as Mayor and now doesn’t know how to escape. When Nick Ferrari on LBC invited him to list his successes as Mayor I thought he was going to ask for an early commercial break.
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Sunny Hundal is editor of LC. Also: on Twitter, at Pickled Politics and Guardian CIF.
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Reader comments
If you discard “no opinion” and “neither” from the GLA figures, then you get 26 positive and 11 negative. If you rescale those to 100%, you get (ish) 70 positive and 30 negative, which is a 40-point net approval rating, consistent with the Evening Standard.
If you split the “neither” group down in proportion to the 26/11 ratio (as might happen if you asked the question without the ‘neither’ option), you get 54 positive and 23 negative consistent with the claims about internal polling.
Could be coincidence, could be that they’re basically all the same data under different views. Without knowing where the Evening Standard and internal polling came from (and crucially, what the question was) it’s not really possible to say.
On question 43 of the GLA poll, Johnson appears to be in the same position now that Livingstone was in in 2003 or 2004, which wasn’t a worrying position for Livingstone then and probably isn’t worrying Johnson now either. (His question 44 ratings are generally no worse than Livingstone’s either, for that matter)
Anyone enlighten me as to what boris has done? All I ever get in response is the drinks ban on the tube – whoopee-doo!
Londoners would do well to chuck the lazy buffoon out of office and vote in someone who will take the role seriously.
“Anyone enlighten me as to what boris has done”
Why is it that a leader requires a string of policy initatives (most of which are failures) to be effective?
What Boris has done is represent the interest of Londoners without coming up with expensive, unnecessary and unwanted socilaist policies which cost money but improve nothing.
Indeed if Gordons government had taken a leaf out of this book they might still be in power
Reactions: Twitter, blogs
- Liberal Conspiracy
Polls show Boris much less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ
- Dawn Foster
RT @libcon: Polls show Boris much less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ
- sunny hundal
Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- Baris Yerli
RT @sunny_hundal: Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- beanisacarrot
RT @sunny_hundal: Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- Tom Earnshaw
RT @sunny_hundal: Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- alan mills
rt @sunny_hundal
Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- Leon Ward
RT @alanmills405: rt @sunny_hundal
Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @A …
- Sam Dodsworth
RT @dawnhfoster: RT @libcon: Polls show Boris much less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ
- George Woods
RT @sunny_hundal Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- Adam Bienkov
RT @sunny_hundal: Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- Andy Sutherland
RT @libcon: Polls show Boris much less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ
- Vic Mo
RT @sunny_hundal: Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- Gill Budgell
RT @alanmills405: rt @sunny_hundal
Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @A …
- John Kennedy
RT @sunny_hundal: Boris for Mayor? Polls show he's less popular than supporters believe http://bit.ly/aoduUJ (via @AdamBienkov)
- sunny hundal
@paulwaugh Ok, thanks. Seem to be quite a few polls going around http://bit.ly/aoduUJ – are you quoting the same?
- Sam Bishop
Londoners have no idea what Boris has done for them as mayor thus satisfaction rates at 26% http://bit.ly/bQiBxe
- Jack Stone
Polls show Boris less popular than believed | Liberal Conspiracy http://t.co/Pw9pl3o via @libcon
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