Published: August 12th 2010 - at 9:00 am

The graph that has the Coalition worried


by Sunny Hundal    

These are the latest approval ratings for the government, tracked by YouGov.

These latest figures were released by YouGov last night. The Coalition’s approval rating is now down to net +1 (approve 41%, disapprove 40%).

It took Labour around two years before they declined that much, after victory in 1997.

Is it any wonder the Coalition is afraid and trying to blame the coming economic downturn on Labour with these snazzy ads?
(but at least the BBC is on hand to help by showing it without checking its claims).

It’s worth nothing that much of the decline is down to wavering Labour and Libdem voters being turned off the Coalition. But what you won’t hear from the right is that Coalition’s extremist agenda is turning off independents very quickly. That line of argument only applies to Labour you see.


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About the author
Sunny Hundal is editor of LC. Also: on Twitter, at Pickled Politics and Guardian CIF.
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Reader comments


The article made sense until the word “extremist”.

The phrase “the coming economic downturn” is just hilarious. Thank you for a much-needed laugh, Sunny!

It will be interesting to see the local government election results next year. If the Lib Dem’s are wiped out, which with poll results like this is highly possible, will cracks within the coalition begin to deepen?

Shock Horror!

Government elected with small majority less popular after a few months than government elected with large majority.

Film at 11.

Government elected with small majority less popular after a few months than government elected with large majority.

Even someone as pedantic as you Tim W would have acknowledged that the “government” comprises of two parties that together won the election handsomely.

“government” comprises of two parties that together won the election handsomely.

Err, no.

Labour seats 97: 418.

Coalition seats 2010: 363.

The difference in the majority is some 100 seats or so…..

Tim

The poll doesn’t count seats – it counts percentages.

So, are you saying the coalition got a smaller % of the vote in 2010 than labour 1997?

Aha!

“The poll doesn’t count seats – it counts percentages. ”

A proper refutation of my point. Well done, yes, I’ll just wander round the back of the bike shed to lick my wounds….

9. Cynical/Realist?

@6 – but Labour’s 97 result was one of the most emphatic results. So you can’t hold it as a benchmark for a simply ‘hansom’ majority. That’s the yardstick for a whitewash.

@2 Yes hilarious. Isn’t it. That we are just coming out of a rescession just for the new government to plunge us straight back in. Ha ha ha ha. The downturn in 98 was a global downturn – and one that regulation of the banks would have done something to avert, something the Tories would have been even further away from than Labour. Thats not to absolve Labour of course, they (like so many global governments) refused to listen to disenting voices while the cash was piling up. But the Tories wouldn’t have done anything to avert it either. It will be interesting to see how its spun if the shit does hit the fan and other countries still get healthier.

10. Cynical/Realist?

@8 answer the question before the sarcasm.

T’ain’t sarcasm.

It’s an admission that he’s right and I’m wrong.

Capisce?

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/voting-intention/yougov

Yougov have conducted five polls this month, in which the Tories have 41-44%, averaging 42%. Their lead over Labour is ~ 6%.

Their first five polls in May put the Tories on 34-35%, averaging 35%. Their lead over Labour was ~ 6%.

Even if the coalition is worried, I do not suppose that the Tories are.

I suppose the major effect will be to discourage the LibDems from breaking from the Tories and risking another election in the immediate future.


Reactions: Twitter, blogs
  1. Liberal Conspiracy

    The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  2. Max

    http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/08/12/the-graph-that-has-the-coalition-worried/

  3. yorkierosie

    RT @libcon: The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  4. Simon HB

    That would be why there's that panicky 'Labour's Legacy' campaign, then: http://bit.ly/cW7duz

  5. Kevin Ward

    The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK (via @libcon) – I doubt they are worried. They expected a hit after the cuts…

  6. Jared Gaites

    RT @libcon: The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  7. Pete Phillips

    RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK – and this before any cuts take effect and unemployment soars

  8. Martin Johnston

    My god this coalition is pathetic The graph that has the Coalition worried: http://bit.ly/dvDlYu From The Liberal Conspiracy

  9. Georgina Rannard

    RT @libcon: The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  10. Jane Ayres

    RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  11. sunny hundal

    RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  12. Nadia

    RT @norock: That would be why there's that panicky 'Labour's Legacy' campaign, then: http://bit.ly/cW7duz

  13. Kerry Abel

    Not necessarily a surprise given the economy tanking? YouGov figures & article http://bit.ly/cW7duz (via @sunny_hundal)

  14. Kerry Abel

    Not necessarily a surprise given the economy tanking & Coalition response? YouGov figures & article http://bit.ly/cW7duz (via @sunny_hundal)

  15. Derek Bryant

    RT @libcon: The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  16. Jay Baker

    RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  17. Jay Baker

    http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/08/12/the-graph-that-has-the-coalition-worried/

  18. Claire French

    RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/bjEbDj

  19. Gary Stroud

    RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/bjEbDj

  20. Richard Wood

    RT: @clairee_french: @libcon: The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/bjEbDj < took Labour two years

  21. Ian Fellows

    The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/bjEbDj

  22. Mehdi Hasan

    RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  23. 2me2you

    RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  24. Adrian King

    RT @2me2you2me: RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  25. justin mottershead

    RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  26. Nick Hider

    RT @libcon: The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  27. yorkierosie

    RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  28. John Kolm-Murray

    RT @sunny_hundal: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/axn0wK

  29. Natalie White

    RT @clairee_french: RT @libcon The graph that has the Coalition worried http://bit.ly/bjEbDj

  30. 100 Days of Summer « @Number 71

    [...] means of avoiding that is if Liberal Democrat votes change, and it appears that they may already be doing so. Even as their leaders are slowly co-opted into Tory circles – “We’re united by a common [...]





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