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	<title>Comments on: Where does Labour go from here?</title>
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		<title>By: Galen 10</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-159444</link>
		<dc:creator>Galen 10</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Aug 2010 07:33:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-159444</guid>
		<description>@29 Left Hook

You raise an interesting point. I agree that there is a &quot;gap in the market&quot; for a progressive social democratic force. Who knows, with the LD&#039;s shackled to the Tories for a while, it might happen? I have to say I&#039;m not tht confident of the chances of such a movement rising from the ashes of either NuLabour, or Old Labour. It may take a more radical fracturing of the current party system for something truly novel to emerge.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@29 Left Hook</p>
<p>You raise an interesting point. I agree that there is a &#8220;gap in the market&#8221; for a progressive social democratic force. Who knows, with the LD&#8217;s shackled to the Tories for a while, it might happen? I have to say I&#8217;m not tht confident of the chances of such a movement rising from the ashes of either NuLabour, or Old Labour. It may take a more radical fracturing of the current party system for something truly novel to emerge.</p>
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		<title>By: Charlie 2</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-159188</link>
		<dc:creator>Charlie 2</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Aug 2010 00:35:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-159188</guid>
		<description>The Tory Party is largely the party of the financial services and S England. A Labour Party which cut back on red tape could attract many people empoyed in SMEs outside of the SE England.  A Labour Party which brought back academic rigour and clamped down on disruptive behaviour  in many comprehensives would be attractive to many voters. While pupils at public and grammar schools take IGSCEs  in single science subjects they will have advantages over  those at comprehensives who take combined science GSCEs. It is vital that those at comprehensives are advised to take 3 or 4 rigorous academic A levels.  Increasingly subjects such as Maths, Further Maths, Physics, Chemistry, Biology, Modern Languages, History and Economics at A levels are being dominated by those from public and grammar schools which can only reduce social mobility, especially into the professions.

A Labour Party which ensured that 80%  a police constable&#039;s  and sergeant&#039;s time was spent patrolling the beat rather than filling in forms would gain many votes.  

A Labour Party which did not appear so beholden to the public sector unions and increasing public sector employment, may gain support from those working in SMEs outside S England.

A Labour Party which actually delivered an education and training system which turned  illiterate/semi-illiterate, innumerate and  unskilled into craftsmen would greatly increase the ability of people to increase their life chances and reduce social inequality. For many, the greatest bar to earning good wages is to be illiterate, innumerate and unskilled.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Tory Party is largely the party of the financial services and S England. A Labour Party which cut back on red tape could attract many people empoyed in SMEs outside of the SE England.  A Labour Party which brought back academic rigour and clamped down on disruptive behaviour  in many comprehensives would be attractive to many voters. While pupils at public and grammar schools take IGSCEs  in single science subjects they will have advantages over  those at comprehensives who take combined science GSCEs. It is vital that those at comprehensives are advised to take 3 or 4 rigorous academic A levels.  Increasingly subjects such as Maths, Further Maths, Physics, Chemistry, Biology, Modern Languages, History and Economics at A levels are being dominated by those from public and grammar schools which can only reduce social mobility, especially into the professions.</p>
<p>A Labour Party which ensured that 80%  a police constable&#8217;s  and sergeant&#8217;s time was spent patrolling the beat rather than filling in forms would gain many votes.  </p>
<p>A Labour Party which did not appear so beholden to the public sector unions and increasing public sector employment, may gain support from those working in SMEs outside S England.</p>
<p>A Labour Party which actually delivered an education and training system which turned  illiterate/semi-illiterate, innumerate and  unskilled into craftsmen would greatly increase the ability of people to increase their life chances and reduce social inequality. For many, the greatest bar to earning good wages is to be illiterate, innumerate and unskilled.</p>
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		<title>By: Left Hook</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-159038</link>
		<dc:creator>Left Hook</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Aug 2010 21:02:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-159038</guid>
		<description>there is a vacancy for a European-style social democratic party: high taxation, high benefits, low inequality. Not perfect, but radically diferent in the UK.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>there is a vacancy for a European-style social democratic party: high taxation, high benefits, low inequality. Not perfect, but radically diferent in the UK.</p>
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		<title>By: Bob B</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158213</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 22:20:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158213</guid>
		<description>@27:

You could have added these legacies from other New Labour policies:

- A welfare benefits system in which 1,710,000 people gain only 30p or less for every extra £1 they earn:

Benefits reform targets ‘workless ghettos’
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cce241ee-9bb7-11df-9ebd-00144feab49a.html#

- “The chances of a child from a poor family enjoying higher wages and better education than their parents is lower in Britain than in other western countries, the OECD says”
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@27:</p>
<p>You could have added these legacies from other New Labour policies:</p>
<p>- A welfare benefits system in which 1,710,000 people gain only 30p or less for every extra £1 they earn:</p>
<p>Benefits reform targets ‘workless ghettos’<br />
<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cce241ee-9bb7-11df-9ebd-00144feab49a.html#" rel="nofollow">http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cce241ee-9bb7-11df-9ebd-00144feab49a.html#</a></p>
<p>- “The chances of a child from a poor family enjoying higher wages and better education than their parents is lower in Britain than in other western countries, the OECD says”<br />
<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility" rel="nofollow">http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility</a></p>
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		<title>By: thomas</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158208</link>
		<dc:creator>thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 21:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158208</guid>
		<description>increasing the age of retirement and decreasing the state pension, creating an economy based on imbecilic drone jobs, a school system designed to produce qualifications without skills and a police state where youre guilty until proved innocent.

thats slavery.

thanks to Labour.

be grateful you still have a voice to mock your own infantilised circumstances, Sally. If that&#039;s what makes you happy, I&#039;m happy for you. I&#039;ll continue to wish you something better and more fulfilling - I&#039;m sure your potential is far greater than you have achieved so far in your life.

Oh, and your rebuttal is impressively profound in it&#039;s analysis and insight. I&#039;m wearing a peach-coloured hawaiian shirt.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>increasing the age of retirement and decreasing the state pension, creating an economy based on imbecilic drone jobs, a school system designed to produce qualifications without skills and a police state where youre guilty until proved innocent.</p>
<p>thats slavery.</p>
<p>thanks to Labour.</p>
<p>be grateful you still have a voice to mock your own infantilised circumstances, Sally. If that&#8217;s what makes you happy, I&#8217;m happy for you. I&#8217;ll continue to wish you something better and more fulfilling &#8211; I&#8217;m sure your potential is far greater than you have achieved so far in your life.</p>
<p>Oh, and your rebuttal is impressively profound in it&#8217;s analysis and insight. I&#8217;m wearing a peach-coloured hawaiian shirt.</p>
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		<title>By: Sally</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158202</link>
		<dc:creator>Sally</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 19:51:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158202</guid>
		<description>Moronic brownshirt troll  &quot;In effect Labour has reintroduced slavery.&quot;

Too funny.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Moronic brownshirt troll  &#8220;In effect Labour has reintroduced slavery.&#8221;</p>
<p>Too funny.</p>
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		<title>By: Tim Worstall</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158196</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim Worstall</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 19:23:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158196</guid>
		<description>&quot;while inflation is higher than growth inequality rises and the poor get poorer relative to the everyone else. &quot;

Erm, no. Inflation tends to reduce inequality as those living off returns from capital lose out. Those who live from wages lose out less and those who live from benefits (which are uprated each year by inflation) lose the least.

The only problem with inflation as a way of reducing inequality is that it also reduces the general level of wealth as well....more equality and less wealth in total. Not a good idea.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;while inflation is higher than growth inequality rises and the poor get poorer relative to the everyone else. &#8221;</p>
<p>Erm, no. Inflation tends to reduce inequality as those living off returns from capital lose out. Those who live from wages lose out less and those who live from benefits (which are uprated each year by inflation) lose the least.</p>
<p>The only problem with inflation as a way of reducing inequality is that it also reduces the general level of wealth as well&#8230;.more equality and less wealth in total. Not a good idea.</p>
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		<title>By: Mr S. Pill</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158193</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr S. Pill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 19:14:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158193</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;In effect Labour has reintroduced slavery.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Phew, for a minute there I thought this was an over-the-top assessment of Labour&#039;s time in power, good to see reasoned statements like the above prove me wrong.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>In effect Labour has reintroduced slavery.</p></blockquote>
<p>Phew, for a minute there I thought this was an over-the-top assessment of Labour&#8217;s time in power, good to see reasoned statements like the above prove me wrong.</p>
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		<title>By: thomas</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158189</link>
		<dc:creator>thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 18:57:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158189</guid>
		<description>“If Labour had continued to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment they would still be in power.”

Claptrap.

Irrespective of their levels, while inflation is higher than growth inequality rises and the poor get poorer relative to the everyone else. 

When that happens under a regime composed of a party self-describing as of the &#039;left&#039; or &#039;centre-left&#039; their target electorate sees this as a betrayal and that party has effectively committed electoral suicide.

This can be seen where the pressure for investment in public health services and greater flexibility in the workplace created increases in the labour pool just as low-interest rates shafted savers. Debt-financed housing and education meant individuals were encouraged put themselves in hock to institutions just to tread water.

In effect Labour has reintroduced slavery.

And then Labour&#039;s ruling class of bureaucrats and technocrats were shown to be corrupt to the core, colluding on regulations and laws to put them out of the reach of the wider public, fixing the system for their own benefit.

This could be seen everywhere from expenses, funding and election systems, to security, defense and invasions, to drugs laws and transport, to immigration and marriage.

They created the conditions of discontent which they argued they were resolving: Labour managed the amazing feat that the list of unfulfilled and broken promises is actually far longer than the reforms they claim they were committed to!

As the scale of the failure becomes apparent the future looks exceedingly bleak.

It will take a generation to die out before the memory of Labour&#039;s abject failure is forgotten. If the party survives.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>“If Labour had continued to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment they would still be in power.”</p>
<p>Claptrap.</p>
<p>Irrespective of their levels, while inflation is higher than growth inequality rises and the poor get poorer relative to the everyone else. </p>
<p>When that happens under a regime composed of a party self-describing as of the &#8216;left&#8217; or &#8216;centre-left&#8217; their target electorate sees this as a betrayal and that party has effectively committed electoral suicide.</p>
<p>This can be seen where the pressure for investment in public health services and greater flexibility in the workplace created increases in the labour pool just as low-interest rates shafted savers. Debt-financed housing and education meant individuals were encouraged put themselves in hock to institutions just to tread water.</p>
<p>In effect Labour has reintroduced slavery.</p>
<p>And then Labour&#8217;s ruling class of bureaucrats and technocrats were shown to be corrupt to the core, colluding on regulations and laws to put them out of the reach of the wider public, fixing the system for their own benefit.</p>
<p>This could be seen everywhere from expenses, funding and election systems, to security, defense and invasions, to drugs laws and transport, to immigration and marriage.</p>
<p>They created the conditions of discontent which they argued they were resolving: Labour managed the amazing feat that the list of unfulfilled and broken promises is actually far longer than the reforms they claim they were committed to!</p>
<p>As the scale of the failure becomes apparent the future looks exceedingly bleak.</p>
<p>It will take a generation to die out before the memory of Labour&#8217;s abject failure is forgotten. If the party survives.</p>
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		<title>By: Charlieman</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158185</link>
		<dc:creator>Charlieman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 18:11:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158185</guid>
		<description>@20 Bob B: &quot; The Trident missile system isn’t an effective deterrent against these threats as we know from 9/11 in America or 7/7 in London.&quot;

I agree somewhat. Polaris exists and may point towards North Korea. Ouch, if you live in South Korea.

However, if fundamentalists overcome a government that possesses nuclear weapons, the equation is different.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@20 Bob B: &#8221; The Trident missile system isn’t an effective deterrent against these threats as we know from 9/11 in America or 7/7 in London.&#8221;</p>
<p>I agree somewhat. Polaris exists and may point towards North Korea. Ouch, if you live in South Korea.</p>
<p>However, if fundamentalists overcome a government that possesses nuclear weapons, the equation is different.</p>
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		<title>By: Rhys Williams</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158182</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhys Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 17:59:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158182</guid>
		<description>No, drunk with joy at hounding a dying political party perhaps…..

I know your UKIP but that sounds so Tory</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, drunk with joy at hounding a dying political party perhaps…..</p>
<p>I know your UKIP but that sounds so Tory</p>
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		<title>By: Bob B</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158024</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 18:49:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158024</guid>
		<description>&quot;But the credible opposition will come from the right not the left.&quot;

I&#039;m not convinced - and certainly not reassured by that prospect.

One reason is that I regard the whole leftist v rightist distinction as pretty meaningless in the absence of clues about what it might signal - the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany signed a Friendship Treaty on 28 September 1939 when Britain and France were already at war.

Because of the evidence, especially including evidence from the recent financial crisis, I don&#039;t subscribe to a belief that Free Market Capitalism is sufficiently self-regulating to prevent systemic collapses. For another, I reminded of this:

“The chances of a child from a poor family enjoying higher wages and better education than their parents is lower in Britain than in other western countries, the OECD says”
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility

I don&#039;t support the replacement of the Trident missile system. What&#039;s worrying is the absence of convincing signs that ministers or the military hierarchy are getting to grips with the rising threats from either asymmetric warfare and subversion or cyberwarfare, all of which are relatively inexpensive options for present or prospective enemies of Britain to engage in. The Trident missile system isn&#039;t an effective deterrent against these threats as we know from 9/11 in America or 7/7 in London.

I&#039;ve huge doubts about the benefits claimed for the upheaval currently being inflicted on the NHS and don&#039;t subscribe to the mantra that above all we need &quot;strong and stable&quot; government.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;But the credible opposition will come from the right not the left.&#8221;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not convinced &#8211; and certainly not reassured by that prospect.</p>
<p>One reason is that I regard the whole leftist v rightist distinction as pretty meaningless in the absence of clues about what it might signal &#8211; the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany signed a Friendship Treaty on 28 September 1939 when Britain and France were already at war.</p>
<p>Because of the evidence, especially including evidence from the recent financial crisis, I don&#8217;t subscribe to a belief that Free Market Capitalism is sufficiently self-regulating to prevent systemic collapses. For another, I reminded of this:</p>
<p>“The chances of a child from a poor family enjoying higher wages and better education than their parents is lower in Britain than in other western countries, the OECD says”<br />
<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility" rel="nofollow">http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility</a></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t support the replacement of the Trident missile system. What&#8217;s worrying is the absence of convincing signs that ministers or the military hierarchy are getting to grips with the rising threats from either asymmetric warfare and subversion or cyberwarfare, all of which are relatively inexpensive options for present or prospective enemies of Britain to engage in. The Trident missile system isn&#8217;t an effective deterrent against these threats as we know from 9/11 in America or 7/7 in London.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve huge doubts about the benefits claimed for the upheaval currently being inflicted on the NHS and don&#8217;t subscribe to the mantra that above all we need &#8220;strong and stable&#8221; government.</p>
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		<title>By: Politiconomic</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158035</link>
		<dc:creator>Politiconomic</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 18:37:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158035</guid>
		<description>&lt;span class=&quot;topsy_trackback_comment&quot;&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;topsy_twitter_username&quot;&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;topsy_trackback_content&quot;&gt;$$ Where does Labour go from here? &#124; Liberal Conspiracy: Labour lacks a political economy for rebuilding the post-... http://bit.ly/cS13sr&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="topsy_trackback_comment"><span class="topsy_twitter_username"><span class="topsy_trackback_content">$$ Where does Labour go from here? | Liberal Conspiracy: Labour lacks a political economy for rebuilding the post-&#8230; <a href="http://bit.ly/cS13sr" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/cS13sr</a></span></span></span></p>
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		<title>By: Rhys Williams</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-158004</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhys Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 17:31:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-158004</guid>
		<description>But there will shortly come a time when adversarial opposition alone is not enough to gain credibility. Opposition parties need to come up with alternative policies. We can only wait and hope.

Good post Bob
But the credible opposition will come from the right not the left.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But there will shortly come a time when adversarial opposition alone is not enough to gain credibility. Opposition parties need to come up with alternative policies. We can only wait and hope.</p>
<p>Good post Bob<br />
But the credible opposition will come from the right not the left.</p>
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		<title>By: Bob B</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157991</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:45:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157991</guid>
		<description>With our tradition of Parliamentary government and a FPTP electoral system, it is crucial to have a credible main opposition party capable of winning byelections and, eventually, a general election.

Without that, the governing party (or parties) can pursue its (or their) own agenda regardless of electoral sentiments - recall what happened during the 1980s when we lacked a credible opposition to the Thatcherite ascendancy. Mrs Thatcher eventually resigned in 1990, not because of anything that the Labour Party did but because she lost the support of her cabinet colleagues. Labour lost the following general election in 1992.

At the May general election this year, the failing political standing and credibility of the Labour government made the prospect of a hung Parliament the more welcome and that was evidently not just to my way of thinking.

I&#039;ve no special regard for the Labour Party, nor for the other main parties either - I didn&#039;t vote at the 2005 election. Recent performance of Labour in opposition since the election has focused on bashing the ConDem coalition and defending Labour&#039;s version of the history of its time in government, which is what can be expected. But there will shortly come a time when adversarial opposition alone is not enough to gain credibility. Opposition parties need to come up with alternative policies. We can only wait and hope.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With our tradition of Parliamentary government and a FPTP electoral system, it is crucial to have a credible main opposition party capable of winning byelections and, eventually, a general election.</p>
<p>Without that, the governing party (or parties) can pursue its (or their) own agenda regardless of electoral sentiments &#8211; recall what happened during the 1980s when we lacked a credible opposition to the Thatcherite ascendancy. Mrs Thatcher eventually resigned in 1990, not because of anything that the Labour Party did but because she lost the support of her cabinet colleagues. Labour lost the following general election in 1992.</p>
<p>At the May general election this year, the failing political standing and credibility of the Labour government made the prospect of a hung Parliament the more welcome and that was evidently not just to my way of thinking.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve no special regard for the Labour Party, nor for the other main parties either &#8211; I didn&#8217;t vote at the 2005 election. Recent performance of Labour in opposition since the election has focused on bashing the ConDem coalition and defending Labour&#8217;s version of the history of its time in government, which is what can be expected. But there will shortly come a time when adversarial opposition alone is not enough to gain credibility. Opposition parties need to come up with alternative policies. We can only wait and hope.</p>
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		<title>By: Richard W</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157977</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard W</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 15:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157977</guid>
		<description>Galen 10,

There is an economic model that tracks the governing party’s poll position relative to the main opposition with inflation, unemployment and interest rate weightings. Historically, support for the governing party relative to the main opposition  depends positively on wage and house price growth and negatively on inflation, unemployment and interest rate changes. 

When the Conservatives were miles ahead in the polls 2009, the model was predicting a dramatic narrowing of the gap at the end of 2009 due to forecasts what would be happening with inflation in the economy. None of the political journalists in the media could understand the narrowing of the gap because Labour were not doing anything different. Furthermore, the model was predicting the polls would narrow until March due to house prices and falling inflation and then the Conservatives would widen the gap until the election as inflation increased. The polls tracked what the model had predicted and if Labour had gone for a March election they may well have been the largest party in a hung parliament. If anything the Conservatives underperformed in the election and Labour despite the Brown unpopularity overperformed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Galen 10,</p>
<p>There is an economic model that tracks the governing party’s poll position relative to the main opposition with inflation, unemployment and interest rate weightings. Historically, support for the governing party relative to the main opposition  depends positively on wage and house price growth and negatively on inflation, unemployment and interest rate changes. </p>
<p>When the Conservatives were miles ahead in the polls 2009, the model was predicting a dramatic narrowing of the gap at the end of 2009 due to forecasts what would be happening with inflation in the economy. None of the political journalists in the media could understand the narrowing of the gap because Labour were not doing anything different. Furthermore, the model was predicting the polls would narrow until March due to house prices and falling inflation and then the Conservatives would widen the gap until the election as inflation increased. The polls tracked what the model had predicted and if Labour had gone for a March election they may well have been the largest party in a hung parliament. If anything the Conservatives underperformed in the election and Labour despite the Brown unpopularity overperformed.</p>
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		<title>By: Tim Worstall</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157974</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim Worstall</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 15:17:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157974</guid>
		<description>&quot;Don’t you feel like a drunk kicking a dead dog&quot;

No, drunk with joy at hounding a dying political party perhaps.....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Don’t you feel like a drunk kicking a dead dog&#8221;</p>
<p>No, drunk with joy at hounding a dying political party perhaps&#8230;..</p>
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		<title>By: Rhys Williams</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157972</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhys Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 15:13:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157972</guid>
		<description>Galen 
I agree 
Labour did have relatively low inflation, low interest rates and low unemployment compared to our economic competitors but they were illiberal and wanted to be more authoritarian than the right on issues such as crime, foreign policy and civil liberties.
Also lets be honest Brown, as a leader was a mistake.
For all the mistakes, I still feel the Tories would have won.
Also the world is changing . We are moving into the world of Rand&#039;s egoism.
Labour&#039;s collectivism is now  outdated. 
I still believe in those values because I am to old to change.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Galen<br />
I agree<br />
Labour did have relatively low inflation, low interest rates and low unemployment compared to our economic competitors but they were illiberal and wanted to be more authoritarian than the right on issues such as crime, foreign policy and civil liberties.<br />
Also lets be honest Brown, as a leader was a mistake.<br />
For all the mistakes, I still feel the Tories would have won.<br />
Also the world is changing . We are moving into the world of Rand&#8217;s egoism.<br />
Labour&#8217;s collectivism is now  outdated.<br />
I still believe in those values because I am to old to change.</p>
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		<title>By: Rhys Williams</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157967</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhys Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 15:01:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157967</guid>
		<description>Tim W
I wouldn&#039;t bothering posting anymore.
Don&#039;t you feel like a drunk kicking a dead dog</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tim W<br />
I wouldn&#8217;t bothering posting anymore.<br />
Don&#8217;t you feel like a drunk kicking a dead dog</p>
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		<title>By: Rhys Williams</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157966</link>
		<dc:creator>Rhys Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:58:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157966</guid>
		<description>Sorry Luis</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry Luis</p>
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		<title>By: Galen 10</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157965</link>
		<dc:creator>Galen 10</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:58:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157965</guid>
		<description>@ OP

&quot;Its policy language is stuck with the generation of ’92, the frequent referencing of its values struggles to escape the cliches of ‘fairness’ and ‘progressive’.

It attacks the coalition in a way that fails to grasp that the economic crisis is creating new kinds of political realignments across and within parties.&quot;

Labour is in real danger of becoming the new Stupid Party. I honestly thought they might be more contrite after the election..... instead it looks like we&#039;ll need to wait a decade or so until the current NuLabour apparatchiks finally get kicked out, and something more progressive replaces it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ OP</p>
<p>&#8220;Its policy language is stuck with the generation of ’92, the frequent referencing of its values struggles to escape the cliches of ‘fairness’ and ‘progressive’.</p>
<p>It attacks the coalition in a way that fails to grasp that the economic crisis is creating new kinds of political realignments across and within parties.&#8221;</p>
<p>Labour is in real danger of becoming the new Stupid Party. I honestly thought they might be more contrite after the election&#8230;.. instead it looks like we&#8217;ll need to wait a decade or so until the current NuLabour apparatchiks finally get kicked out, and something more progressive replaces it.</p>
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		<title>By: Galen 10</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157962</link>
		<dc:creator>Galen 10</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:49:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157962</guid>
		<description>@8 richard

&quot;If Labour had continued to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment they would still be in power.&quot;

Not necessarily. I think enough people were pretty horrified by the illiberal control freakery of many NuLabour policies, the decision to invade Iraq, and the dysfunctional nature of the Labour leadership, to lose them an election whatever the economic position had been. You can&#039;t fool all of the people all of the time</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@8 richard</p>
<p>&#8220;If Labour had continued to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment they would still be in power.&#8221;</p>
<p>Not necessarily. I think enough people were pretty horrified by the illiberal control freakery of many NuLabour policies, the decision to invade Iraq, and the dysfunctional nature of the Labour leadership, to lose them an election whatever the economic position had been. You can&#8217;t fool all of the people all of the time</p>
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		<title>By: Tim Worstall</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157961</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim Worstall</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:48:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157961</guid>
		<description>If &quot;vacuous waffle&quot; is flattering, how do we insult you?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If &#8220;vacuous waffle&#8221; is flattering, how do we insult you?</p>
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		<title>By: Luis Enrique</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157959</link>
		<dc:creator>Luis Enrique</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157959</guid>
		<description>Rhys, for future reference I advocate redistribution, widespread state intervention in the economy, oppose privatization of healthcare etc. I really find it disheartening how frequently people confused economic literacy and dislike of vacuous waffle [*] with being right wing.  
 
[*] being a rather flattering depiction of myself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rhys, for future reference I advocate redistribution, widespread state intervention in the economy, oppose privatization of healthcare etc. I really find it disheartening how frequently people confused economic literacy and dislike of vacuous waffle [*] with being right wing.  </p>
<p>[*] being a rather flattering depiction of myself.</p>
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		<title>By: Richard W</title>
		<link>http://liberalconspiracy.org/2010/07/30/where-does-labour-go-from-here/#comment-157958</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard W</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:42:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberalconspiracy.org/?p=16332#comment-157958</guid>
		<description>I think they probably meant to say neoliberalism rather than neoclassical. Although the former is based on the latter. It all just sounds so vague and content free. I don&#039;t buy this idea beloved of think tanks that the public want politicians who can engage with them. The great majority of the population want low interest rates- low inflation and low unemployment. Everything else are fringe interests. Obviously I am generalising but people care about issues like civil liberties when it affects them but they are really not that bothered about other peoples civil liberties.

If Labour had continued to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment they would still be in power. Where do they go from here? Out of power until the present lot mess up and they can offer credible policies to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think they probably meant to say neoliberalism rather than neoclassical. Although the former is based on the latter. It all just sounds so vague and content free. I don&#8217;t buy this idea beloved of think tanks that the public want politicians who can engage with them. The great majority of the population want low interest rates- low inflation and low unemployment. Everything else are fringe interests. Obviously I am generalising but people care about issues like civil liberties when it affects them but they are really not that bothered about other peoples civil liberties.</p>
<p>If Labour had continued to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment they would still be in power. Where do they go from here? Out of power until the present lot mess up and they can offer credible policies to deliver low interest rates, low inflation and low unemployment.</p>
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