Published: April 20th 2010 - at 4:20 pm

More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron


by Sunny Hundal    

Petter Kellner of YouGov asks: Could the Lib Dems win outright?

One reason why the Lib Dems could, just possibly, achieve this is revealed by YouGov’s latest daily poll. We asked: “How would you vote on May 6 if you thought the Liberal Democrats had a significant chance of winning the election”. The responses: Lib Dem 49%, Conservative 25%, Labour 19%. On the – admittedly unrealistic – assumption of uniform national swing, there would be 548 Lib Dem MPs, 41 Labour MPs and just 25 Tories.

It won’t happen. But this question does show that if Nick Clegg continues to perform well in TV debates and voters regard him as a serious challenger, then Lib Dem support could rise further from the 30% or so that, all pollsters agree, it has achieved since last Friday.

And here are the responses from a recent poll:

Delighted Wouldn’t mind Dismayed
Lib Dem govt under Nick Clegg 29% 38% 21%
Con govt under David Cameron 25% 20% 45%
Lab govt under Gordon Brown 18% 23% 51%
Labour-Lib Dem coalition 14% 35% 39%
Con-Lib Dem coalition 9% 33% 45%
Grand 3-party coalition 9% 24% 47%

In fact, as I pointed out this morning at the Guardian: It may be time for Labour to quietly make plans to ditch Brown.

And see Anthony Barnett: The Liberal Democrat breakthrough can succeed


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About the author
Sunny Hundal is editor of LC. Also: on Twitter, at Pickled Politics and Guardian CIF.
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Reader comments


1. Galen10

Well.. they say a week is a long time in politics… who would have predicted this before the debate?

Nick Clegg for PM… hell yeah!

2. Tim J

This is going to be some hangover, one way or the other…

3. Richard

I remember a radio election broadcast from 1997 with John Cleese stating that polls showed over 50% of people would vote Lib Dem if they thought they could win.

4. diogenes1960

well of course they do! in bhis place, it is all about power without responsibility…no chance of being elected so he can tell people what they want to hear….just like the venerable Cable. No one remembers his policyflip-flops. No one remembers that he has been wrong on all important matters. he sounds reassuring…and he will never be in a position of power inless the British public goes insane…it’s like voting for your preferred headmaster.

5. Bob B

I take it that we voters are meant to interpret the concerted ad hominem abuse and smears being heaped on Nick Clegg, Vince Cable and Gordon Brown as a sure sign of how modernised the Conservatives have become under Cameron’s leadership.

6. Galen10

@ 4 diogenes1960

“…he sounds reassuring…and he will never be in a position of power inless the British public goes insane…it’s like voting for your preferred headmaster.”

Have you been in a cave for the last week? Or perhaps marooned somewhere bereft of internet access due to the volcanic ash cloud?

The “insane” British public seem to be about to do just that. Sooner Cable than Osborne or Darling. I reckon the insane option now would be NOT to ensure a hung parliament!

7. Bob B

It’s curious how a succession of polls ranking the Treasury spokesmen of the three main parties, starting well before the televised debate of the party leaders, regularly ranked George Osborne at the bottom for competence.


Reactions: Twitter, blogs
  1. Eoin Mahon

    RT @houseoftwits: RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  2. Matt Barr

    More people want Nick Clegg as PM than Cameron, YouGov poll: http://bit.ly/aL0NfO #ge10 #ge2010 #ukelection

  3. Martin Veart

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  4. Max

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  5. Catherine Nicholls

    RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva Only 21% would be "dismayed" if Clegg was PM. GB and DC in trouble

  6. Julian Huppert

    RT @houseoftwits: RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  7. Sarah Raphael

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  8. Benjamin A'Lee

    More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron. http://ur1.ca/w37p (via @libcon) #ge2010 #libdems

  9. Cadan ap Tomos

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  10. Top news

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  11. Top news

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  12. Katie

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bi2qdb

  13. Liberal Conspiracy

    More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  14. House Of Twits

    RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  15. Catherine Neilan

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  16. unslugged

    RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva < more ppl prolly want Mugabe than Cameron too

  17. topsy_top20k_en

    More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  18. Jo Shaw

    RT @HouseofTwits: RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  19. Gary

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  20. Jonathan Calder

    RT @houseoftwits: RT @libcon More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  21. Jimmie Franklin

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  22. London Liberal Youth

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva

  23. uberVU - social comments

    Social comments and analytics for this post…

    This post was mentioned on Twitter by libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bKCdva...

  24. mark hawkins

    RT @libcon: More people want Clegg as PM than Cameron http://bit.ly/bi2qdb

  25. Richard Hebditch

    If people when voting thought Lib Dems could win, they'd win 548 seats on uniform national swing: http://bit.ly/9l8emY (via @libcon)

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