Half of voters want Libdems in minority govt


6:19 pm - April 11th 2010

by Sunny Hundal    


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Just under half of all voters polled would prefer a Labour or a Conservative government working with the support of the Libdems in a Hung Parliament.

The results, out today in a Comres Poll, show that 46% of voters would prefer a Hung Parliament over just a Tory or a Labour victory.

Conservative government with an overall majority: 29%
Conservative government with the support of the Liberal Democrats in a hung parliament: 20%
Labour government with the support of the Liberal Democrats in a hung parliament: 26%
Labour government with an overall majority: 25%

But the Comres poll also shows the Libdems at their lowest recent showing at 16pts. Labour is 7pts behind Conservatives at 32pts.

The poll also shows that Osborne is rated behind Alastair Darling and Vince Cable as Chancellor. Although there is still plenty of votes for either of them to pick up.

Which of these do you think would make the best Chancellor of the Exchequer?
Alistair Darling 23%
George Osborne 19%
Vince Cable 21%
Don’t know/none 37%

David Cameron also seems to have made no progress persuading voters that his party is “ready for government”.

Neither Labour nor the Conservatives are being honest about how they would reduce public borrowing
Agree 63%
Disagree 27%

The Conservative Party is not yet ready for government
Agree 44% (45% in June 2009)
Disagree 44% (46% in June 2009)

A Labour government would be more likely than a Conservative Government to increase taxes
Agree 54%
Disagree 30%

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About the author
Sunny Hundal is editor of LC. Also: on Twitter, at Pickled Politics and Guardian CIF.
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Reader comments


Have they published the % of undecideds in the poll?

It was 56% in today’s poll of marginal constituencies!

You have to ask yourself whether these results can be relied upon, statistically, when there is such a high “unknown factor” in the mix.

According to the poll noted above:

“Which of these do you think would make the best Chancellor of the Exchequer?
Alistair Darling 23%
George Osborne 19%
Vince Cable 21%”

That is close on double the rating for any hypothetical LibDem Exchequer in previous GE polls. The rules have changed. This is a different election to anything previously.

@1 Tigger: “It was 56% in today’s poll of marginal constituencies!”

Indeed, in a marginal seat the number of floating voters is scary to the parties concerned. To which poll do you refer, Tigger?

In a safe seat, the number of undecideds matters bugger all.

You can find out how much your vote is “worth” here – mine is the equivalent of 0.595 votes, I feel so special.

Well, mine carries 0.7 weight so pretty chuffed with that, add that to my ladies and we have 1.5 of a vote between us. YAY!

I should point out that it’s a fucking stupid scale, because literally everyone has less than or even to one vote on that scale. Look at, say, Crawley, for example; #18 most marginal and worth 0.942 of a vote.

Not that I don’t agree with electoral reform, or the general idea of the site, but clearly there’s some product of the Liberal Democratic School of Mathematics at work there.

@6

Oh? You should make a better one then. Or at least show why the mathmatics involved are spurious… I’m no good at numbers myself see.
Anyway, there are places where the vote counts more as shown on the site itself, Arfon f’rinstance each voter gets the equivalent of 1.308 votes. Or Edinburgh South – 1.013 votes.
As opposed to Belfast West where according to that site each vote is worth 0.004 votes!

If it beings the case for electoral reform to a wider audience it can only do good. Although I would like to know why the maths are wrong.

@7

Hmm, the site is “based on research by nef (the new economics foundation)”. So that explains the bad maths. Why didn’t they set the “average” voter power to 1, so that it would be instantly easy to compare?


Reactions: Twitter, blogs
  1. Layla Moran

    RT @houseoftwits: RT @libcon Half of voters want Libdems in minority government http://bit.ly/aRW9P9

  2. Opemipo Kehinde

    RT @libcon: Half of voters want Libdems in minority government http://bit.ly/aRW9P9 || If only we could arrange that. Labour, Tories, Hung..

  3. Tank the Tories

    RT @libcon Half of voters want Libdems in minority government http://bit.ly/aRW9P9 > the half from the waist down

  4. DanH

    RT @libcon: Half of voters want Libdems in minority govt http://bit.ly/aCNtMN … also shows more people want a Lab gov of a sort than Con.

  5. Liberal Conspiracy

    Half of voters want Libdems in minority government http://bit.ly/aRW9P9

  6. House Of Twits

    RT @libcon Half of voters want Libdems in minority government http://bit.ly/aRW9P9

  7. topsy_top20k

    Half of voters want Libdems in minority government http://bit.ly/aRW9P9

  8. Conservatives In Britain Trying To Rebuild LGBT Support Ahead Of General Election - Lez Get Real

    […] Half of voters want Libdems in minority govt (liberalconspiracy.org) […]

  9. realLibs

    #UKvote | @libcon: Half of voters want LibDems in minority govt http://bit.ly/dkOJ0u | #LibDems #GE2010

  10. Mark Posen

    RT @realLibs: #UKvote | @libcon: Half of voters want LibDems in minority govt http://bit.ly/dkOJ0u | #LibDems #GE2010





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