Tories crash 3pts in latest poll; hung Parliament!


7:00 pm - February 22nd 2010

by Newswire    


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The Conservatives should no longer count on winning the election outright, according to a Guardian/ICM poll published today.

The new survey suggests Britain is on course for a hung parliament amid faltering public support for David Cameron’s party.

The opposition have also lost ground on key policy issues, including the economy, and in particular may be losing their campaign against Labour’s so-called “death tax”. Labour leads the Tories by eight points as the party with the best policy on care for the elderly.

…more at The Guardian

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Reader comments


I offer the following advice in a spirit of dispassionate objectivity. The best course of the Conservatives to repair their political fortunes is to stop digging and ditch George Osborne quickly.

Hung parliament assuming UNS. Depends what the difference is in the marginals.

More interestingly, wonder which “others” are benefiting.

Another Conservative media plot unravels before our very eyes:

“Tory MP Ann Widdecombe has resigned as patron of an anti-bullying charity after it claimed No 10 staff had used its helpline. She said publicising the phone calls had been a breach of confidentiality. Prof Cary Cooper and TV presenter Sarah Cawood have also stepped down from the National Bullying Helpline.”
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8527881.stm

“Britain’s top civil servant has said he did not confront Gordon Brown about ‘acting in a bullying or intimidatory manner’ towards Downing Street staff.”
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/8529292.stm

Isn’t 3% the margin of error for this sort of poll?

If so, isn’t it really a drop and more to do with sampling error?

Richard:

The breakdown of others is in the main article at the Guardian.

6. Mike Killingworth

The usual caveats, based on the historical record of the last 20-odd years:

– the most accurate poll is the one with the greatest Tory lead;
– the Tories “win” the campaign, that is to say their position vis-a-vis the other parties improves during the course of it.


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