Is this the only solution to Afghanistan?


by Septicisle    
November 6, 2009 at 1:35 pm

There’s a distinct air of unreality which must around hang around newspaper offices and also the realms of Whitehall. The reaction to the killing of 5 British soldiers by an Afghan police officer was one of a still aloof nation that regards it as unbelievable that it can be so apparently easy to kill Our Boys, while also perplexed at how “Terry Taliban” isn’t prepared to play by good old fashioned Queensbury rules.

It wasn’t so long ago that IEDs were being described as “new” and “asymmetrical” tactics, as if guerilla warfare was some new concept, and that it was perfectly beastly that the other side weren’t allowing themselves to be shot out in the open like the clearly inferior fighters that they are. How dare they make the greatest, best trained army the world has ever seen look bad?

The problem the attack poses though is obvious: when our policy is to train the Afghan army and police and then get out, or at least that’s what it’s meant to be, that this officer was apparently not a new recruit and had been in the police for three years raises the nightmare that there may be many more “cells” where we have in fact trained those will then turn on us when the chance arises.

This isn’t exactly new either though: the Iraqi police and army were and probably still are riddled with those with their own distinct agendas, and that was in a country where there are only two major sects in conflict with each other.

What strategy?
The increase in troops is meant to go hand in hand with the strategy of “taking and holding”, having previously only taken land held by the Taliban to then withdraw and let them take it again. This is all well and good, but it still leaves us at some point having to give that which we’ve taken back, with no guarantee whatsoever that the Taliban won’t then come straight back. Training up the Afghan army and police is meant to stop just that, but there’s still no real belief that they’ll be able to hold their own when the time comes.

With there being no apparent alternative, you have to wonder if Kim Howells’ intervention yesterday was meant to further cement the current policy as the only one in town.

Only someone in the chair of the completely toothless Intelligence and Security Committee could think that the best way to spend the money saved by getting out of Afghanistan is to raise up the drawbridge here and in Howells’ words introduce “more intrusive surveillance in certain communities”, which has to be one of the most cowardly ways of calling for more spying on Muslims imaginable.

Howells seems to be basing this on the false premise that getting out of Afghanistan would make the security situation here deteriorate, when if anything the opposite would be the case, as well as helping to ameloriate the attitudes which some within this country hold.

Just to further flesh out his attitude that this whole mess isn’t our fault but rather the Afghans’ own, just like some blamed the Iraqis for not embracing the democracy we so kindly imposed down the barrel of a gun, he continues:

I assumed, wrongly, that a desire among ordinary Afghans for peace would prevail over the prospect of continued war and the spectre of being ruled by a tyrannical theocracy in one of the world’s poorest and most backward countries.

We shouldn’t pretend that getting out of Afghanistan immediately would either be easy or not have major, long lasting effects on our relationships both with the United States and NATO. It would however be better to consider it as a genuine option and to plan for it than to continue with the lunacy of our current position, knowing that it is untenable as a going concern.

——————
A longer version is over at my blog

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· About the author: 'Septicisle' is a regular contributor to Liberal Conspiracy. He mostly blogs, poorly, over at Septicisle.info on politics and general media mendacity.

· Other posts by Septicisle

· Filed under: Blog , Foreign affairs , Realpolitik , South Asia , Terrorism


17 Comments in response   ||  



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    Liberal Conspiracy » Is this the only solution to Afghanistan?: About the author: 'Septicisle' is a reg.. http://bit.ly/2TMQVu

  4. Liberal Conspiracy

    :: The Afghanistan quagmire grows deeper http://bit.ly/27jZZ8

  5. ourmaninabiko

    RT @libcon The Afghanistan quagmire grows deeper http://bit.ly/27jZZ8



Reader comments

I assumed, wrongly, that a desire among ordinary Afghans for peace would prevail over the prospect of continued war

I love this sort of construction – it’s as if anyone who opposes our presence there must, by definition, not be an “ordinary Afghan”. Presumably he thinks the Afghan Taliban come from Mars or something. Who the hell does he think we’re fighting?

@Dunc

We’re fighting radical Islamism. Do you believe that ordinary Afghans are all radical Islamists? That would put you in the Mad Mel camp.

No, of course I don’t believe all “ordinary Afghans” are radical Islamsists. Equally, I do not believe that all “ordinary Afghans” are opposed to the radical Islamists. I believe that “ordinary Afghans” are about as diverse in their social, political and religious opinions as any other similarly sized population. Some are radical Islamists. Some are not, but oppose our presence there for other reasons. Some want us there. Some desire peace above all, others are willing to fight and die to advance whatever they believe their interests to be.

It’s all really quite easy provided you remember that we’re talking about people.

Lucky for the Welsh that OBL was not thought to be hiding out in Snowdonia post 9/11. Or maybe after 7/7 we should have invaded Leeds?

If Afghanistan sent troops to the UK with the intention of getting rid of our liberal democracy and replacing it with a tribal system of government would it be legitimate to resist?

This is the most stupid phoney war in history.

Can anybody even give me the name of one Afghan terrorist?

@2 “We’re fighting radical Islamism”

Do you really believe all the people fighting the British Army in Afghanistan are “radical Islamists”? What an absurd mistake to make – believing your own propaganda.

We never went in Afghanistan to fight terrorists per se. We went in as retaliation for the Taliban’s support for terrorism and for 9/11. That is just fact.

As I recall it, we didn’t exactly “go in” to overthrow the Taliban – we simply gave large amounts of guns, money, and support (both military and diplomatic) to a faction of absolute bastards who just happened to be opposed to the faction of absolute bastards currently in power, then moved on to invading Iraq. It’s only more recently (i.e. since the fall of the Taliban “government”, and more particularly since we started moving troops out of Iraq) that we’ve become significantly involved in the actual fighting.

Do correct me if that’s not the case.

“We went in as retaliation for the Taliban’s support for terrorism and for 9/11.”

Yes, except the Taliban had precious little to do with 9/11 – http://www.gregpalast.com/taliban-911-afghanistan-by-hypnosis/#more-3012

There’s quite a good spat going on between Craig Murray and a mid-level banker from the Daily Kos over the role of Central Asian gas in the decision to keep on hanging in there in Afghanistan http://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2009/11/the_sinister_di.html#comments

Can anybody even give me the name of one Afghan terrorist?

No takers. OK I’ll ask an easier one.

Can anybody give me the name of a terrorist who has ever been trained in Afghanistan?

If not, can someone please explain to me how fighting this war will prevent terrorism?

Sometimes, I feel as if I am looking at a naked emperor and everyone around me is admiring his clothes.

Paddy Ashdown (is he Liberal enough for you?) says that if the Taliban take control of Afghanistan again it will be ‘inevitable’ (repeated twice) that Pakistan will also fall to the Taliban. That means the Taliban will have the Islamic Bomb, so you can say goodbye to a few Indian cities at a stroke, then World War III kicks off. Worth fighting to prevent? Yup.

Interesting angle Tony and worthy of debate.

But not a rationale I’ve heard from Brown or Obama.

Why?

So much for the Afghan National Army.

“There are almost no recruits from the south,” said Gen. Ali Ahmed to the Observer in July, noting that when villagers do come in contact with ANA, the Pashtuns see them as an “army of occupation” primarily composed of ethnic Tajiks. Indeed, the majority of ANA officers are Tajik …..

http://original.antiwar.com/vlahos/2009/10/26/afghan-army-mia/

As for the idea of scrutinising the muslim population ever closer, I don’t think there’s too much need for alarm (unless the security services are totally incompetent).
If they get information about some individuals being suspect, it shouldn’t take too much to decide what level of risk (or none) they pose.
If they turn out to be benign Islamists, and they get a security file because of that, then tough really. MI5 will hardly want to bother looking into the lives of ordinary muslims who are just going about their everyday lives.

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