Poll: Tory lead down to 10%


by Newswire    
October 13, 2009 at 3:39 pm

Conservative attacks on the state and plans to cut spending may be deeply hurting its support.

The Times reports today:

The Conservatives have failed to get any boost from their party conference last week, according to a new poll for The Times that shows they are relying heavily on support from retired people.

The Populus poll, undertaken over the weekend, reveals that the Tories have slipped one percentage point since mid-September to 40 per cent, while Labour is up three points at 30 per cent. This is the highest Labour rating since April and the smallest gap between the parties since last January.

The poll also showed that 36% in the public sector back the Tories, 41% in the private sector but 49% of the retired.

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You do yourself a discredit when you selectively report polls. The latest ICM poll gave a 19 point lead. Both polls likely to be rogue – but time will tell.

In general terms, middle aged and the elderly are more likely to vote than people aged 18-30. The societal group most likely to vote are the retired. They will have a disproportionate impact on the eventual result.

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