Comments on: Can the Democrats win on numbers? http://liberalconspiracy.org/2008/02/29/can-the-democrats-win-on-numbers/ Left-wing news, opinion and activism Wed, 23 May 2012 02:58:14 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: ad http://liberalconspiracy.org/2008/02/29/can-the-democrats-win-on-numbers/#comment-6091 ad Sat, 01 Mar 2008 18:10:33 +0000 http://www.liberalconspiracy.org/2008/02/29/can-the-democrats-win-on-numbers/#comment-6091 So as long as more Democrats vote than Republicans they should be able to win? I'd guessed that myself... I cannot help but think of all those predictions from less than a year ago saying that Clinton was certain to be the Democratic nominee. And that McCain was finished. So as long as more Democrats vote than Republicans they should be able to win?

I’d guessed that myself…

I cannot help but think of all those predictions from less than a year ago saying that Clinton was certain to be the Democratic nominee. And that McCain was finished.

]]> By: Lee Griffin http://liberalconspiracy.org/2008/02/29/can-the-democrats-win-on-numbers/#comment-6039 Lee Griffin Fri, 29 Feb 2008 13:05:44 +0000 http://www.liberalconspiracy.org/2008/02/29/can-the-democrats-win-on-numbers/#comment-6039 Hmm, I would take the latter half with a pinch of salt. Statistically McCain is less popular than Obama (who is on an upward trend in almost every poll) where it matters, the swing states. He is "competitive" in Ohio to the tune of being within or just around the margin of error. What's important to remember here is the context. Ohio is a republican state after 2004, though obviously marginally. The real tell for McCain's threat to the Democrat bid is his popularity in states like Virginia and Oregon. I've gone into things a bit already <a href="http://www.griffindor.org.uk/index.php?subaction=showfull&id=1203974453&archive=&start_from=&ucat=2,12,24,33,75,77,78,79&" rel="nofollow">on here</a>. Of course it's far too early to tell really, but the key here is like you say, how many vote and how many independents go each way. Hmm, I would take the latter half with a pinch of salt. Statistically McCain is less popular than Obama (who is on an upward trend in almost every poll) where it matters, the swing states. He is “competitive” in Ohio to the tune of being within or just around the margin of error. What’s important to remember here is the context. Ohio is a republican state after 2004, though obviously marginally. The real tell for McCain’s threat to the Democrat bid is his popularity in states like Virginia and Oregon.

I’ve gone into things a bit already on here.

Of course it’s far too early to tell really, but the key here is like you say, how many vote and how many independents go each way.

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