Breaking: John Edwards pulls out


by Sunny H    
January 30, 2008 at 2:33 pm

Wow, this was certainly unexpected. After last night’s poor showing in Florida, even though it doesn’t count, John Edwards has now pulled out of the Democrat race. Will this help Clinton or Obama? Most likely Clinton, right?
Update: I have a bad feeling he cut a deal with Clinton to do this.

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· About the author: Sunny Hundal is editor of Liberal Conspiracy. He works full time as a journalist, commentator, blogger, activist and general layabout. He was voted Guardian blogger of the year in 2006. Also at: Pickled Politics, on Twitter and Comment is free.

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It’s clear to Edwards, or at least it must be, that he isn’t pulling in above 20% frequently enough to make a good campaign stick. The emphasis is now completely on the other two and it is unlikely that when pressed super delegates are going to risk their vote by splitting it between three when it could mean their second choice is beaten by their third. With so many super-delegates Edwards must know that a) he doesn’t have a chance at conference and b) that he now holds a good sway of power.

If he endorses Obama then that will really push things his way I’d say, as his list of supporters is impressive and growing. Anything less than this for Obama, however, demographically and politically will mean Clinton is almost certain to have much more breathing room.

2. Margin4 Error

I don’t see how much influence he has left after a pretty poor showing so far. He has some capacity to push some campaign money one way or another – but from what I can see thats about it.

The debate between clinton and obama doesn’t reflect a left/centrist split well enough for him to deliver his vote to one or other of them.

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